In the picture
Humanitarian position a Denton mission at Soto Cano Air Base, Honduras, Jan. 12, 2026. [Sgt. Alexander Merchak]
For decades, Honduras and Latin America in general have been at the bottom of the U.S. security policy agenda. Compared to its counterparts in Europe, the Middle East, and the Indo-Pacific, U.S. Southern Command (SOUTHCOM) maintained only a minuscule force with which to address the few but formidable threats in the region. However, since Donald Trump’s return to the White House, the United States has increased its military presence in Latin America, primarily to combat drug cartels and counter Chinese influence in the region. One key area in the War on Drugs, however, has seen no increase in American forces: Honduras and the vital Soto Cano Air Base.
This article seeks to analyze the U.S. military assets and missions currently in Honduras and the U.S. approach to the security challenges facing this small but geographically vital Central American nation, concluding that the current level of U.S. forces at the Soto Cano base is insufficient. The article also offers recommendations for U.S. and Honduran policymakers on this matter. Additionally, the article identifies challenges faced by the U.S. in the region and possible contingencies.
Background
Following the end of the Cold War, the United States shifted its focus away from security issues in Latin America. The end of proxy conflicts in Guatemala, El Salvador, and Nicaragua led to a significant reduction in U.S. military presence in the region following the 1989 invasion of Panama(Operation Just Cause) and the subsequent withdrawal of all U.S. instructions the Canal Zone by 2000.
In the case of Honduras, Soto Cano Air Base in the Comayagua Valley also saw a reduction in troop levels. The 1980s had seen the deployment of a significant number of U.S. Army, Marine Corps, and Air Force units to that facility to contain the “spread of communism” and provide assistance to Contra rebels attempting to overthrow Nicaragua’s revolutionary regime. The end of the Cold War saw the withdrawal of most of these forces, as the focus shifted to the Balkans and disarmament.
This situation has persisted ever since. In 2025, however, the Western Hemisphere witnessed a significant shift in U.S. policy, as Washington deployed a substantial number of assets to the Caribbean as part of a campaign against drug trafficking launched by the Trump administration. The campaign soon escalated into efforts to pressure the Venezuelan regime to collapse. These efforts were later consolidated into Operation “Southern Spear.”
American military efforts led to an increased U.S. military presence in the Caribbean and the reopening of decommissioned military instructions Puerto Rico. However, Soto Cano, the United States’ largest base in Central America, was not involved in the buildup that culminated in the US’s first military operation in a Latin American country since Panama, when US Special Forces, supported by aircraft and naval assets, captured Venezuelan dictator Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, during Operation “Absolute Resolve.”
Furthermore, U.S. efforts to combat drug cartels, organized crime, and human trafficking led to the launch of the “Shield of the Americas” initiative in Florida during a meeting between Trump and eleven Latin American leaders, with the stated goal of enhancing coordination to combat drug cartels and organized crime. The pact has faced severe criticism due to the absence of key countries involved in drug trafficking, such as Colombia, Mexico, and Venezuela.
As of 2026, despite U.S. President Trump’s more aggressive push to combat drug cartels and restore American influence in the region, U.S. military assets in Honduras have not changed in any significant way, even though the situation in Honduras has begun to deteriorate in relation to the War on Drugs, with the production of illegal drugs gradually increasing and the country shifting from a transit country to a producer.
Furthermore, operations in Latin America have seen resources being redeployed to Europe and the Middle East following the launch of the U.S.-Israeli campaign against Iran (Operation “Epic Fury”). Of particular significance was the departure of the aircraft carrier USS “Gerald Ford,” which was redeployed to the Mediterranean to participate in the operation against Iran in February 2026.
Major security challenges
One of the major security challenges facing Honduras has been transnational crime involving traffickers linked to the drug trade in Mexico and Colombia. Honduras’ geographical location makes it a necessary stepping stone for cartels heading to the U.S. The influence of drug traffickers has been well documented, as seen in the major scandals that have affected presidents on both the left and the right, as well as their families. While the true extent of these figures’ involvement varies based on available evidence, the damage suffered by government and political institutions has been palpable, as has the damage to Honduras’ image on the international stage. This problem has been exacerbated by a weak judicial system.
Another challenge is posed by natural disasters. Honduras, like the rest of Central America, is particularly vulnerable to hurricanes, such as Hurricanes Eta and Iota in 2020, or the infamous Hurricane Mitch of 1998. Another major risk is forest fires, particularly during the dry summer months. Water shortages have hindered firefighting efforts to extinguish the flames in forested areas, which in turn leads to massive ecological damage. Furthermore, Honduras lacks helicopters capable of carrying large water buckets to combat the fires, hampering these efforts.
Organized crime and gangs are a common threat faced by the countries of the Northern Triangle, and one that has left its mark. While El Salvador, under President Bukele’s controversial but effective war on gangs, has seen major success, Guatemala and Honduras have continued to suffer from high crime rates. Alarmingly, members of gangs such as MS-13—which have been a thorn in the side of law enforcement in the Northern Triangle for decades—have been arrested and deported in several Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) operations in the U.S., demonstrating the gangs’ reach. Furthermore, in Central America, gangs have managed to control areas through extortion, as well as by freeing fellow gang members from prison or instigating deadly prison riots.
Poverty is the primary concern in Central American countries, and one that has been linked to other security issues affecting the region. Honduras has typically ranked among the poorest countries in the region, surpassed only by Haiti. The lack of opportunities and inequality has led to a significant number of people leaving the country in caravans. Complicating matters, a considerable portion of the labor force in Honduras is in the informal sector. This, combined with the fact that many low-income families depend entirely or partially on remittances sent by relatives in the U.S.—some of whom entered the country illegally—creates significant problems for Honduras’ stagnant economy, which is dependent on the willingness of U.S. officials to enforce immigration laws.
Without a doubt, however, drug trafficking is the most significant security challenge facing Honduras—one whose effects extend beyond the country’s borders to affect the entire Central American region and the United States as well.
The Area of Operations (AO) where the War on Drugs is being waged in Honduras is La Mosquitia, a vast jungle region spanning eastern Honduras and the border with Nicaragua, characterized by significant biodiversity and isolated settlements inhabited by indigenous Miskito communities. The area is also known as the Platano River Biosphere Reserve. Dense jungle and rivers dominate the area, making ground access difficult, which means operations will have to be conducted via helicopter or using small patrol boats to patrol the rivers, similar to the U.S. approach in Vietnam’s Mekong Delta. Drug traffickers have built small“narcopistas”: small, clandestine airstrips where Cessnas and smaller aircraft land to unload drugs. Operations to neutralize them involve using explosives to crater the airstrips.
However, recent operations by the Honduran Army in the 2020s have uncovered cocaine farms where coca cultivation has begun. This has expanded the area of operations from La Mosquitia to several major departments in Honduras, including the Caribbean Coast and the areas along the Nicaraguan border. These areas are mountainous and covered with either forest or jungle, making ground operations difficult on the treacherous dirt roads that crisscross the mountains and valleys.
Drug trafficking also occurs in the Caribbean and the Pacific, with small boats—known as “narcolanchas”—transporting significant quantities of drugs toward the United States. Taking all these factors into account, Honduras faces at least three fronts in the War on Drugs: the Caribbean, the Pacific, and eastern Honduras. Geographically located at the center of the continent and Central America, Honduras serves as the gateway for drug cartels to reach the United States, and for Washington, it is the chokepoint where the cartels can be slowed down.
Addressing these issues is of immediate importance, not only for Honduras but also for the United States, especially given that Trump’s focus on security has emphasized combating illegal migration and drug trafficking.