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REPORT SRA 2021
May 2021
PRESENTATION
Covid-19, an unexpected factor
MAY 2021-The pandemic caused by the Covid-19 virus has had a major impact on the entire world and especially on the American nations: three of the four countries with the most deaths - the United States, Brazil and Mexico, which together account for more than one million deaths - are in the Western Hemisphere. Latin America has been the area of the planet most affected by the disease, in proportion to its population, and with the worst economic consequences. This status has meant, in terms of security, a special regional vulnerability to external powers and internal mafias.
If two years ago we launched this American Regional Security report (ARS) stating that geopolitics had returned to the continent, due to the growing interest of China and Russia in the area of traditional US influence, it can now be said that these two extra-hemispheric powers have taken advantage of the health emergency to deploy a "diplomacy of vaccines" and consolidate their influence, while the United States prepares its own flow of neighboring financial aid , about to conclude the inoculation of its population.
In this context, significant episodes occurred throughout 2020. China's food security demands have reinforced the presence of Chinese fishing fleets in the vicinity of the waters of several South American countries, which see their fishing grounds threatened by illegal fishing practices and alleged invasion of their exclusive economic zones. This has led to a certain collective security movement and increased dialogue with the U.S. Southern Command.
On the other hand, organized crime has also taken advantage of the pandemic status , relying on the authorities' distraction from other efforts subject In the last year, Paraguay has emerged as a major hub for the exit of cocaine from the interior of the continent, while at the same time establishing itself as the main producer of marijuana in South America, at a time when this crop is emerging as a legal business opportunity in new countries. For their part, Guatemala and Honduras are consolidating their 'trials' in coca cultivation, taking a leap - hardly quantitative, but certainly qualitative - in the universe of drug trafficking. The positive news is that the peace process and the confinements of the pandemic have reduced homicides in Colombia to historic lows.
CONTENTS
SUMMARY EXECUTIVE
Covid makes Latin America more vulnerable to external powers and internal mafias
MARITIME SAFETY
China's uncontrolled fishing alerts governments with major fishing grounds under threat
Paola Rosenberg
EXTRAHEMISPHERIC PRESENCE
Vaccine diplomacy: more 'Western' doses, but China and Russia consolidate penetration
Emili J. Blasco
EXTRAHEMISPHERIC PRESENCE
Iran takes gold from a Venezuela that no longer has oil to pay favors with
Maria Victoria Andarcia
REACTION OF THE UNITED STATES
U.S. Southern Command issues dire warning about China's advance in the region
Diego Diamanti
MARAS
U.S. begins to prosecute MS-13 members as terrorists
Xabier Ramos Garzón
PUBLIC SAFETY
Peace process and Covid reduce homicides in Colombia to record lows
Isabella Izquierdo
NARCOTRAPHIC
Coca cultivation 'trials' increase in Honduras and Guatemala, previously only transit countries
Eduardo Villa Corta
NARCOTRAPHIC
Paraguay remains South America's leading marijuana producer
Eduardo Uranga